Ideas are real things. Somebody has to check them.

How do you check what a machine claims, after it has claimed it? A research programme on the post-cognitive validation of language model outputs, built from inside the content industry — where the outputs are already shipping.

Paper α1 in preparation · Project status →

Two projects run on this site. This one asks whether a machine’s claims can be checked, and how. The other — the measuring bench — asks what a text does to the reader who reads it, measured in bits. They share a premise, not an apparatus.

The papers

Research log →

Current figures and open questions: Project status, updated September 3, 2026

Language models produce assertions without classifying what kind of assertion they are producing. They can report on some of their own internal states; nothing indicates that content type is among them. The programme builds post-cognition: an external, auditable procedure that first fixes what kind of claim is on the table — historical-factual, empirical-quantitative, ethical-normative, metaphysical-ontological, and seven more — and only then asks whether it is true. Ontology precedes epistemology. From September 2026 the programme publishes on two lines, an ontological one and an empirical one, which advance at different speeds.

α1 · Writing & submission

The ontological line

It carries the principle that gives the programme its name, the seven-dimensional taxonomy with its coding manual, the asymmetric procedure for causal claims, and the argument that a validation protocol is a configuration of rules, model and researcher rather than an instrument one applies to the other. Its corpus is thirty-one claims annotated across ten of the eleven active categories — illustration of what the taxonomy does, not validation of whether it holds. It is close to finished, and it is answerable to other arguments.

β1 · In data collection

The empirical line

It carries the vertical validation across 180 runs and the multi-model control of 31 August, and two things that are still outstanding: the blind coding, on which two per-claim proportions and the second arm’s semantic agreement rate depend, and the uplift experiment, pre-registered and not yet executed. It is not close to finished, and it is answerable to data.

Three claims that can be shown to be wrong

  1. β Disagreement between model runs is lexical, not epistemic. Across 180 runs, lexical agreement was 4.44% and semantic agreement 76.67% — a gap of about 72 points.

    Wrong if the two rates converge on a larger and more varied corpus, or if the semantic rate collapses under a stricter annotation protocol. It has already met one: a label-first re-extraction in July 2026 moved the semantic rate by 1.66 points.

  2. β Classifying the type of a claim before evaluating it changes what the evaluation finds. On four causal claims, a prompt that fixes the claim type first should flag a defective causal premise more often than one that does not.

    Wrong if a naive prompt flags the structural defect at the same rate as the framework prompt. Whether the same holds for human coders — whether classifying first changes what people find, and how far they agree — would need a control arm of annotators who skip the step. That study is not designed yet and sits outside the scope of this phase.

  3. α A model can report on its own internal states and still not classify the epistemic type of its own claims. That is why the check has to come from outside.

    Wrong if a model, with no external scaffolding, assigns claim types to its own outputs at the agreement level of trained human coders.

Unified working paper, v1–v7 — closed

The previous draft stays where it was: working paper, v6 superseded by v7. Every version, together with the corpus, the scripts and the raw outputs: all deposited materials →

Lab · Independent research

The changelog of the programme. Dated, in-progress notes — including the ones where the framework had to be corrected.

All notes →

Where the Italian essays look

The essays, in Italian →

Most of this site is in Italian: essays on publishing, epistemology and the geopolitics of content, indexed concept by concept. This is where they look.

Where the Italian essays lookWorld map in Goode’s interrupted projection. Each country is shaded in five classes by how much the Italian essays discuss it; the values are in the text legend.Bulgaria · through the European Union (weight 31)Sub-Saharan Africa · weight 3Sub-Saharan Africa · weight 3Canada · weight 10Sub-Saharan Africa · weight 3Sub-Saharan Africa · weight 3Chile · weight 1China · weight 49Taiwan · weight 14Sub-Saharan Africa · weight 3Sub-Saharan Africa · weight 3Croatia · through the European Union (weight 31)Cyprus · through the European Union (weight 31)Czech Republic · through the European Union (weight 31)Sub-Saharan Africa · weight 3Denmark · through the European Union (weight 31)Sub-Saharan Africa · weight 3Sub-Saharan Africa · weight 3Sub-Saharan Africa · weight 3Estonia · weight 35 (with the European Union)Finland · weight 34 (with the European Union)France · weight 58 (with the European Union)Sub-Saharan Africa · weight 3Sub-Saharan Africa · weight 3Sub-Saharan Africa · weight 3Palestine · weight 6Germany · weight 49 (with the European Union)Sub-Saharan Africa · weight 3Greece · weight 39 (with the European Union)Sub-Saharan Africa · weight 3Hungary · weight 35 (with the European Union)Iran · weight 14Ireland · weight 32 (with the European Union)Israel · weight 16Italy · weight 75 (with the European Union)Sub-Saharan Africa · weight 3Japan · weight 7Sub-Saharan Africa · weight 3South Korea · weight 1Lebanon · weight 4Sub-Saharan Africa · weight 3Latvia · through the European Union (weight 31)Sub-Saharan Africa · weight 3Lithuania · weight 32 (with the European Union)Luxembourg · weight 32 (with the European Union)Sub-Saharan Africa · weight 3Sub-Saharan Africa · weight 3Sub-Saharan Africa · weight 3Sub-Saharan Africa · weight 3Sub-Saharan Africa · weight 3Sub-Saharan Africa · weight 3Netherlands · weight 35 (with the European Union)New Zealand · weight 3Sub-Saharan Africa · weight 3Sub-Saharan Africa · weight 3Poland · through the European Union (weight 31)Portugal · through the European Union (weight 31)Sub-Saharan Africa · weight 3Romania · through the European Union (weight 31)Russia · weight 37Sub-Saharan Africa · weight 3Saudi Arabia · weight 2Sub-Saharan Africa · weight 3Sub-Saharan Africa · weight 3Slovakia · weight 34 (with the European Union)Slovenia · through the European Union (weight 31)Sub-Saharan Africa · weight 3South Africa · weight 2Sub-Saharan Africa · weight 3Spain · weight 33 (with the European Union)Sub-Saharan Africa · weight 3Sub-Saharan Africa · weight 3Sub-Saharan Africa · weight 3Sweden · through the European Union (weight 31)Switzerland · weight 3Sub-Saharan Africa · weight 3United Arab Emirates · weight 3Turkey · weight 2Sub-Saharan Africa · weight 3Ukraine · weight 18United Kingdom · weight 47Sub-Saharan Africa · weight 3United States · weight 249Sub-Saharan Africa · weight 3Sub-Saharan Africa · weight 3Sub-Saharan Africa · weight 3Sub-Saharan Africa · weight 3Austria · weight 35 (with the European Union)Albania · weight 3Belgium · weight 33 (with the European Union)Australia · weight 3Taiwan · weight 14Estonia · weight 35 (with the European Union)Palestine · weight 6Vatican City · weight 8Hungary · weight 35 (with the European Union)Ireland · weight 32 (with the European Union)Israel · weight 16Lebanon · weight 4Lithuania · weight 32 (with the European Union)Luxembourg · weight 32 (with the European Union)Netherlands · weight 35 (with the European Union)Slovakia · weight 34 (with the European Union)Switzerland · weight 3United Arab Emirates · weight 3Austria · weight 35 (with the European Union)Albania · weight 3Belgium · weight 33 (with the European Union)
Goode’s interrupted projection: no centre, the sphere cut open.The figure is a weight, not a count of mentions: linked pieces times 1, 0.5 or 0.25 depending on how direct the reference is. Geography is assigned and validated by the author at publication; the map updates with every new piece. Method →
The Abstract

Reading the Content Economy from Europe — one essay a month

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Who is doing this

About →

Claudio Cammarano leads marketing at De Agostini Libri and teaches at three Italian universities. Twenty years in publishing — Mondadori, Rizzoli, RCS, GEDI — and an academic background in semiotics and philosophy of language. He wrote Il mercato del libro (Solferino).

The point of the day job is not the credential. It is that the outputs this programme is about are already being shipped, at scale, in the industry he works in.

If you work on validation, epistemics or the economics of content, and any of this is near what you do, write: claudio@claudiocammarano.com.

Episteme Advisory is the consulting practice that applies the method. The research is independent of it: conducted in his own name, published in full in the Lab, and accountable to no client.